Entries Tagged as 'house prices'

Wednesday, August 12th, 2009

Factors Affecting Demand and Supply for Housing

Demand for Housing depends on various factors
1. Affordability. Rising incomes mean that people are able to afford to spend more on housing. During periods of economic growth, demand for houses tends to rise. Also demand for housing tends to be a luxury good. So a rise in income causes a bigger % rise in demand.
This [...]

Monday, August 10th, 2009

Graph House Price to Earnings Ratio

The interesting thing is to see how much the house price to earnings ratio for first time buyers fell at the end of the 1990-93 crash. The ratio of house prices to earnings fell close to 2.0.
At the height of the 2007 boom, house price to earnings ratios peaked at over 5.0 and in London [...]

Monday, August 10th, 2009

Current UK House Prices Trend

House prices peaked in Q3 1989 at £62,782
They fell until Q4 1992 when they were £50,128
The next peak was in Q3 2007 at £184,131

Monday, August 10th, 2009

History of UK House Prices in Post War Period

Graph showing nominal house price growth. Notice two big house price crashes of 1991 and 2008.
Also these figures are not adjusted for inflation. The real house price growth is less. But, house prices have still outstripped the rate of inflation.
In 1952, the average house price was £1,891.
They peaked in Q3 2007 at £184,131

Monday, August 10th, 2009

House Price Affordability in UK

This graph shows the fluctuations in house price affordability in the UK. At the height of the 1980s boom, mortgage payments as a % of take home pay were a record 140%. The cost of mortgage payments was heightened by the period of high interest rates.
The following house price crash and decline in interest rates [...]

Monday, August 10th, 2009

UK House Price Growth since 2000

This graph shows the annual % change in UK house prices during the past 10 years.
The early 2000s involved a rapid house price boom with the annual rate of house price inflation exceeding 25%.
The boom was caused by:

low interest rates,
positive economic growth
Generous mortgage lending
high confidence
relative shortage of supply

The housing crash began in early 2008. The [...]

Friday, August 7th, 2009

House Price Recovery

The Halifax reported a 0.8% rise in its three month house price trend survey. This gives  a good sign that the house price stabilisation is more than just a one off monthly event. House price forecasts at the beginning of 2009, are now looking more bearish and likely to be missed. The Institute of Chartered [...]

Friday, September 5th, 2008

Housing Forecast 2009

2008 has been a bad year for house prices. Of course, it is excellent news for those who have been priced out of the market. It may even help regional economies like London attract key workers. However, it is bad news for speculators and estate agents who have seen house prices fall and the number [...]

Friday, July 18th, 2008

Mortgage Lending and House Prices Fall

Mortgage lending in the UK has slumped by 32% since this time last year. This has contributed to significant falls in house prics. House prices have now fallen by £17,000 since the start of the year. This represents almost a £100 decline in house prices per day during 2008.
It is estimated that the average house [...]

Wednesday, July 9th, 2008

Global House Price Forecasts

The early 2000s saw a worldwide boom in house prices. In many countries, house prices increased faster than average incomes. In many countries, house price to incomes ratios reached an all time. For this reason, many feel that house prices are badly overvalued and therefore, it is only to expected that there is going to [...]

Sunday, June 22nd, 2008

Demand for Housing in the UK

Demand for housing in the UK can be quite volatile. These are some of the main factors which influence the demand for buying houses in the UK.
Interest Rates
The majority of UK homeowners still prefer to take out variable mortgage rates (unlike the continent where fixed rate mortgage deals are more common). Therefore any change in [...]

Wednesday, May 7th, 2008

Why UK Housing Market Suffers Boom and Bust Cycles

Why The UK Housing Market Experiences Boom and Bust Economic Cycles
A boom and bust cycles refers to the rapid increase in prices, followed by a period of falling house prices. This has occured on numerous occasions in the UK housing market, most notably during and after Lawson boom of the late 80s
Reasons For Boom and [...]

Friday, May 2nd, 2008

UK House Prices Could Fall 33%

MPC member David Blanchflower warned that a downward correction in house prices could reduce house prices by 33% in the next 2-3 years. He points that the current levels of house prices are fundamentally unaffordable and this could cause a major correction that could last through 2009 to 2010.
The decline in prices has been precipiated [...]

Wednesday, April 30th, 2008

House Prices Fall Year On Year

UK house prices fell in the past 12 months. It is the first time house prices have fallen year on year since 1996. House prices peaked in July of 2007 and their pace of decline has accelerated in the past couple of months.
The main factors currently dragging house prices down include:
Fall in mortgage finance. The [...]